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What are Dropping Odds?

Dropping odds occur when bookmakers significantly lower the odds on a particular outcome, indicating increased confidence that the outcome will happen. We track these movements from sharp bookmakers only, filtering out the noise from recreational books to give you a reliable picture of where the market is actually moving.

Why Sharp Bookmakers?

Not every odds change is meaningful. Soft books adjust lines for all sorts of reasons: liability balancing, promos, copying other books. Sharp books move because the market moved. Our dropping odds come from a curated panel of sharp bookmakers. These are high-limit operators with tight margins that accept professional-level stakes. Their lines get tested by sharp bettors constantly, so when they move a price, it usually means something real happened: confirmed team news, injury updates, or significant money entering the market. By filtering to these operators, the data shows you where the smart money is going rather than noise from recreational books.

Fetching Dropping Odds

Use the /v3/dropping-odds endpoint to get current dropping odds:

Response Format

For player prop markets, market.label contains the player name (e.g. "Carlos Baleba"). It is omitted for non-player-prop markets.

Understanding Drop Values

The drop object shows the percentage decrease across different time windows: A drop of 25.9% means the odds went from 2.05 to 1.52. The market now considers this outcome significantly more likely.

Query Parameters

Pagination

Results are paginated. Metadata is returned in response headers:

Use Cases

Steam Moves

Track large, sudden movements to catch “steam” (when sharp bettors flood a market):

Pre-Match Line Shopping

Combine with the odds endpoint to find bookmakers that haven’t adjusted yet:

Best Practices

The sinceOpening window can be noisy for events listed far in advance. The 12h and 24h windows capture more actionable, recent movements.
A dropping odd on a sharp book often creates value on soft bookmakers that haven’t adjusted yet. Use /value-bets alongside /dropping-odds for the best opportunities.
Moneyline drops are the most common. Spread and totals drops can be more significant since they indicate specific information (e.g. a key player being ruled out affecting the handicap).
The most informative drops happen in the final 1-6 hours before an event starts, when team news is confirmed and sharp bettors act on confirmed information.

Next Steps

Value Bets

Find edges using the same sharp bookmaker methodology

Fetching Odds

Get full odds data across all bookmakers